The coming coffee crop (05-06) could be 10% less than the post-blossom estimate of 294,000 \ tonnes. The fall could be due to the impact of white stem borer for Arabica and heavy rains for both Arabica and Robusta. The real position would only be known after the Coffee Boards post-monsoon estimate, which is based on a scientific sample survey.
The Coffee Boards post-blossom estimate, released in June, had expected a crop of 294,000 tonnes, made up of 105,600 tonnes Arabica and 188,400 tonnes Robusta. Plucking of Arabica beans starts in November-December and that for Robusta ends in March-April. United Planters association of southern India (Upasi) president Anil Bhandari, also a coffee planter, said the impact would be more on Arabica because of the incidence over till last few years of the white stem borer. Upasis own survey will, however, be ready only in October when the berries start to ripen and are ready to be plucked in November - December.
Touching on exports for the current fiscal, Coffee Board official sources stated that there could be a marginal drop from the 04 - 05 level of around 19 lakh 4000 thousand tons.